Case Framing with Mark Mandell
Saturday, January 20, 2018
Saturday, August 19, 2017
Monday, July 3, 2017
Monday, May 29, 2017
Group Decisions May Suffer If Confidence, Expertise Don’t Match
Group Decisions May Suffer If Confidence, Expertise Don’t Match: New research suggests, that when trying to make a decision with another person, people tend to match their confidence levels — which can backfire if one person in fact has more expertise than the other. University College London (UCL) researchers found that that the degree of stated confidence in one's opinion is infectious when working in a team. However, an individual’s confidence in their opinion implies credibility which may or may not be accurate. The study, published in Nature Human Behaviour, shows that the degree of stated confidence can blur the boundary between well-informed and poorly informed opinion, sometimes to the detriment of group decision-making. 'Making a decision collectively is most effective if the person with the most expertise expresses their opinion with the most confidence. If my opinion is more reliable than yours, then I should also be more confident. 'But it's difficult to express that effectively if you don't know whether the person you're working with is
Sunday, May 28, 2017
You’re Not Going to Change Your Mind
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/27/opinion/sunday/youre-not-going-to-change-your-mind.html?ref=opinion
The authors distinguish between the tendency for people to prefer confirming and desirable over disconfirming and undesirable information (Eil & Rao, 2011). Thus, people prefer evidence confirming what they need to believe to maintain a positive self-image. Jurors are motivated reasoners who prefer evidence that reinforces what they need to believe to preserve their views of themselves and the world. A lawyer can never win a case unless a narrative speaks to jurors about a world they know.
The authors distinguish between the tendency for people to prefer confirming and desirable over disconfirming and undesirable information (Eil & Rao, 2011). Thus, people prefer evidence confirming what they need to believe to maintain a positive self-image. Jurors are motivated reasoners who prefer evidence that reinforces what they need to believe to preserve their views of themselves and the world. A lawyer can never win a case unless a narrative speaks to jurors about a world they know.
Saturday, May 27, 2017
Innocent until Primed: Mock Jurors’ Racially Biased Response to the Presumption of Innocence
Those responsible for justice system must be educated about jury and juror judgment and decision making. Unfortunately, the rational juror model seems be the bedrock of criminal and civil justice system, all too often to the detriment of those that depend on the fairnees of the system.
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0092365
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0092365
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